Unravelling the mechanisms behind Multi-Year Droughts
The MultiDry project aims to enhance understanding of multi-year droughts' drivers and impacts through innovative modeling and observations, informing future water management and policy decisions.
Projectdetails
Introduction
Recent decades have seen a doubling in multi-year droughts around the world. With long-lasting impacts on streamflow, groundwater, and vegetation, these negatively affect agriculture, drinking water supply, hydropower, shipping, and ecosystems as a result. The IPCC states that contrary to “normal” droughts, multi-year droughts cause abrupt changes that take years or decades to be reversed.
Climate Change and Drought Frequency
Due to climate change, multi-year droughts are projected to become more frequent and longer, and potential recovery times between droughts will decrease.
Hypothesis
I hypothesize that the rise in multi-year droughts and their impacts is caused by stronger teleconnections between the atmosphere, ocean, and land, enhanced by climate change. Additionally, feedbacks between the bio-hydrological cycle exacerbate the impacts of multi-year droughts.
Project Overview
The MultiDry project will make scientific breakthroughs by tracking the propagation of multi-year droughts from climate forcing through vegetation and soil moisture to surface water and groundwater impacts. It will also include the important, intricate effects of human water use.
- Data Integration: In MultiDry, I will combine observations with a novel modelling framework.
- Research Goals: The aim is to unravel the drivers behind multi-year droughts worldwide and the feedbacks of vegetation and human water use on drought duration, propagation, and recovery.
Expected Outcomes
This will yield new process understanding, novel scientific datasets, and a basis for reliable projections of future multi-year drought events.
Significance
This project will drastically improve our understanding of the drivers and mechanisms of multi-year droughts, which I believe to be fundamentally different from those of “normal” droughts.
Implications for Policy and Management
The MultiDry results will inform policymakers and water managers around the world on future water challenges. MultiDry will also provide the fundamental understanding needed to:
- Quantify future drought vulnerability around the world
- Help improve drought preparedness
- Enhance global hydrological modelling of drought
Financiële details & Tijdlijn
Financiële details
Subsidiebedrag | € 1.500.000 |
Totale projectbegroting | € 1.500.000 |
Tijdlijn
Startdatum | 1-9-2023 |
Einddatum | 31-8-2028 |
Subsidiejaar | 2023 |
Partners & Locaties
Projectpartners
- UNIVERSITEIT UTRECHTpenvoerder
Land(en)
Vergelijkbare projecten binnen European Research Council
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Living with Drought: Human -Environment Relationships in Drying European LandscapesThe DROUGHT project aims to develop a comprehensive understanding of socio-environmental impacts of drought in Europe through comparative anthropology, enhancing knowledge for better societal responses. | ERC Starting... | € 1.683.750 | 2025 | Details |
Improving forest drought resilience through tree xylem eco-physiological mechanismsThis project aims to enhance forest drought resilience by investigating tree hydraulic mechanisms through field measurements, controlled experiments, and advanced modeling. | ERC Consolid... | € 1.999.831 | 2025 | Details |
Hybrid dry–hot Extremes prediction and AdapTationThe HEAT project aims to enhance subseasonal forecasting of droughts and heatwaves using a hybrid AI-physics model to improve preparedness for heat stress and inform land adaptation strategies. | ERC Consolid... | € 1.983.000 | 2023 | Details |
Ecological memory of extreme drought events in soil microbial communitiesEcoMEMO investigates the role of ecological memory in soil microbial communities' responses to extreme drought, aiming to enhance understanding of their impact on biogeochemical processes under climate change. | ERC Starting... | € 1.451.568 | 2024 | Details |
Balancing clean Water and Energy provision under changing climate and eXtremesThe B-WEX project aims to develop a novel framework to analyze and balance clean water and energy provision under climate extremes, enhancing understanding of their interdependencies and trade-offs. | ERC Starting... | € 1.500.000 | 2023 | Details |
Living with Drought: Human -Environment Relationships in Drying European Landscapes
The DROUGHT project aims to develop a comprehensive understanding of socio-environmental impacts of drought in Europe through comparative anthropology, enhancing knowledge for better societal responses.
Improving forest drought resilience through tree xylem eco-physiological mechanisms
This project aims to enhance forest drought resilience by investigating tree hydraulic mechanisms through field measurements, controlled experiments, and advanced modeling.
Hybrid dry–hot Extremes prediction and AdapTation
The HEAT project aims to enhance subseasonal forecasting of droughts and heatwaves using a hybrid AI-physics model to improve preparedness for heat stress and inform land adaptation strategies.
Ecological memory of extreme drought events in soil microbial communities
EcoMEMO investigates the role of ecological memory in soil microbial communities' responses to extreme drought, aiming to enhance understanding of their impact on biogeochemical processes under climate change.
Balancing clean Water and Energy provision under changing climate and eXtremes
The B-WEX project aims to develop a novel framework to analyze and balance clean water and energy provision under climate extremes, enhancing understanding of their interdependencies and trade-offs.
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De regendruppel die de stad doet overlopen
Het project richt zich op het verbeteren van waterbeheer door samenwerking en innovatieve oplossingen tegen watertekort en overlast.
LIFE TRIPLET: Digitalisation of efficient fertigation management for a sustainable agriculture.
The project aims to develop a digital platform that integrates advanced monitoring and predictive modeling to enhance sustainable irrigation and crop management in Mediterranean agriculture.
Testing optical solutions for calibrating models that predict behavior of soil bodies
Het project ontwikkelt een geïntegreerd systeem van optische sensoren en rekenmodellen om grondgedrag onder extreme weersomstandigheden te voorspellen, ter verbetering van infrastructuurbeheer.
Wateragro application
Het project onderzoekt de haalbaarheid van een AI-gestuurd systeem om watergebruik in de landbouw met 30% te verminderen.
Futureproof farming water management
The project aims to optimize water usage in EU agriculture through precision farming technology, deploying 450 sensors to help 150 farmers adapt to increasing droughts and enhance sustainability.