Fostering social tipping dynamics to Accelerate Sustainability Transitions
The FAST project aims to model and explain social tipping dynamics in energy transitions using a novel combination of agent-based and diffusion modeling to enhance sustainability efforts.
Projectdetails
Introduction
Staying within a maximum global warming of 1.5 degrees requires an acceleration of the transition to a low carbon society. Current theory views such sustainability transitions as inevitably slow as they require interdependent changes throughout socio-technical systems.
Challenges to Current Theory
The observation that energy transition scenarios systematically underestimate the diffusion of key technologies challenges this view. Existing models that form the basis for energy transition scenarios do not include the positive feedbacks resulting from the interactions between civil society and energy transitions.
Importance of Interactions
Yet these interactions have been identified as important drivers and barriers of energy transitions, and as crucial in triggering the social tipping dynamics that can accelerate the energy transition. Social tipping dynamics in energy transitions occur when a small change or intervention has a large effect on emission reductions.
Gaps in Understanding
To date, some examples of social tipping dynamics have been identified, but both a systematic understanding of the mechanisms underlying social tipping dynamics and an evaluation of their potential policy leverage is missing.
Project Objectives
The overall objective of the FAST project is to explain and model social tipping dynamics and interventions in energy transitions. This requires a model that explains how the social factors influencing sustainability transitions scale up to realize social tipping dynamics.
Methodology
To this end, I will use a novel combination of:
- Bottom-up agent-based modelling
- Top-down diffusion modelling
This approach will capture the interactions in socio-technical systems that create tipping dynamics. It will bridge the qualitative field of sustainability transitions and the quantitative field of energy transitions modelling.
Project Team
A team consisting of the PI, 3 PhD students, a postdoc, and a research assistant will conduct the proposed study over five years. This is the first study that systematically integrates social tipping dynamics in quantitative models of energy transitions.
Financiële details & Tijdlijn
Financiële details
Subsidiebedrag | € 1.999.995 |
Totale projectbegroting | € 1.999.995 |
Tijdlijn
Startdatum | 1-9-2022 |
Einddatum | 31-8-2027 |
Subsidiejaar | 2022 |
Partners & Locaties
Projectpartners
- TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITEIT EINDHOVENpenvoerder
Land(en)
Vergelijkbare projecten binnen European Research Council
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From Niches to Norms: Drivers and Diffusion of Green Social TippingGREEN TIPPING aims to analyze and validate tailored interventions that can shift societal norms towards sustainable behaviors, facilitating a transition to net-zero emissions. | ERC Consolid... | € 1.758.084 | 2023 | Details |
Building models of, with and for sustainability transformationsTRANSMOD aims to enhance sustainability transformations by integrating interdisciplinary analysis of natural resource governance and food systems, using simulation modeling and empirical research to understand complex dynamics. | ERC Advanced... | € 2.498.060 | 2024 | Details |
Socio-Economic Challenges and Opportunities of the Energy TransitionENERGY-IN-TRANSITION aims to advance energy and environmental economics by researching Green Hydrogen regulation, electricity market design, and local socioeconomic impacts of the Energy Transition. | ERC Advanced... | € 2.499.440 | 2025 | Details |
Redirect Innovation to foster Positive tipping Points and prevent Lock-ins in the clean Energy transition.The RIPPLE project aims to develop a quantitative framework that identifies and leverages positive tipping points for a swift transition to a green economy through innovative modeling and policy interventions. | ERC Starting... | € 1.496.994 | 2025 | Details |
Climate-related Beliefs and Low-Carbon Transition DynamicsThe BELIEFS project aims to develop a dynamic model to analyze firms' expectations and their impact on investment decisions, facilitating effective policies for a smooth transition to a net-zero society. | ERC Consolid... | € 1.999.391 | 2025 | Details |
From Niches to Norms: Drivers and Diffusion of Green Social Tipping
GREEN TIPPING aims to analyze and validate tailored interventions that can shift societal norms towards sustainable behaviors, facilitating a transition to net-zero emissions.
Building models of, with and for sustainability transformations
TRANSMOD aims to enhance sustainability transformations by integrating interdisciplinary analysis of natural resource governance and food systems, using simulation modeling and empirical research to understand complex dynamics.
Socio-Economic Challenges and Opportunities of the Energy Transition
ENERGY-IN-TRANSITION aims to advance energy and environmental economics by researching Green Hydrogen regulation, electricity market design, and local socioeconomic impacts of the Energy Transition.
Redirect Innovation to foster Positive tipping Points and prevent Lock-ins in the clean Energy transition.
The RIPPLE project aims to develop a quantitative framework that identifies and leverages positive tipping points for a swift transition to a green economy through innovative modeling and policy interventions.
Climate-related Beliefs and Low-Carbon Transition Dynamics
The BELIEFS project aims to develop a dynamic model to analyze firms' expectations and their impact on investment decisions, facilitating effective policies for a smooth transition to a net-zero society.
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The SITRANS project aims to assess the economic and social impacts of the energy transition in coal regions while developing a governance model for a just transition through a collaborative Energy Observatory.
Effective and Fair European Carbon Trading: Ensuring EU carbon pricing and revenue use serves the climate and society
The project aims to enhance civil society's engagement and understanding of the EU's Emissions Trading System and Social Climate Fund to promote effective carbon pricing and social justice.
Development of a dedicated Funding & Organisational Ecosystem to accelerate industrial net zero transformations.
The project aims to accelerate the clean energy transition by developing scalable financing solutions for large-scale renewable investments, targeting net-zero emissions by 2031.